Mitt Goes to Lynchburg for Speech at Liberty University

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From all accounts Mitt gave a terrific speech at Liberty University, hitting all the right notes and bringing the audience to their feet at several points. Gary Bauer, former presidential candidate, evangelical leader, and recent supporter of the campaign of Senator Rick Santorum called the speech a “home run,” as reported by the NY Times.

Mitt Romney speaks at Liberty University Commencement

Because Dane, our MittTheMan.com colleague has part of his medical practice in Lynchburg, Virginia, the local media has called on him to comment on Mitt’s candidacy as part of their coverage of his speech yesterday at Liberty University. The News and Advance in Lynchburg sent a reporter out to interview Dane, on which I commented here last week.

Here is the most recent piece, an editorial they requested from Dane and which appeared in the paper this past week. Dane did a great job, and we appreciate the plug the paper gave to MittTheMan.com. We noticed quite a few hits from Lynchburg around the publication date. The piece begins:

I first met Mitt Romney in October 1966, in Rouen, France, at a training meeting for the Mormon missionaries who were serving in Normandy and Brittany.

Romney was gregarious, obviously bright and seemed more on top of things than normally expected of someone who had arrived less than 14 weeks earlier. The first indication I had was that he spoke better French than others who had arrived that summer. Our common experience of growing up in the East was a source of connection that brought us together. Most of the others were from the western United States or Canada, places where the concentration of Mormons was often higher, but we had been the only Mormons in our respective high schools. We also had fathers who had stood out in their respective professions and in service to their communities.

Read the rest at the Web site of the News and Advance!

Obama says Mitt wants to return to the past, but would that be a bad thing?

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Two recent articles combined to stimulate my interest in the history of the US employment rate.The first was the description in the Washington Times of speeches that President Obama gave at rallies last Friday in Virginia and Ohio. Here is the salient quote that stimulated the headline writer’s use of the expression, “blast from the past”:

“Somehow, [Mr. Romney] thinks the same bad ideas will lead to a different result — or they’re hoping you won’t remember what happened the last time you gave them a shot,” Mr. Obama continued. “We are not going back. We remember, and we’re going to move this country forward.”

Reading that made me wonder which target period President Obama was objecting to “going back” to. As I reflected on that question, I came across a second article from the Washington Post, which described a speech that Mitt had delivered in Pennsylvania:

Mitt Romney raised the bar for what comprises an unemployment rate worth celebrating as he used the latest jobs figures to criticize President Barack Obama’s management of the economy while campaigning in Pennsylvania.

“Anything over four percent is not cause for celebration,” the presumptive Republican presidential nominee said inside a warehouse of a specialized cement and corrosion- resistant materials manufacturer in Pittsburgh.

Competing for my attention, the two ideas of “going back” idea and raising “the bar for what comprises an unemployment worth celebrating” bounced around in my head and caused me to wonder whether going backwards might not be such a bad idea. I had to find out how today’s unemployment situation compared with what has happened in the past.

From the Bureau of Labor Statistics Web site I was able collected numbers for the average annual unemployment rate going back to 1948. From that data I plotted the graph below, to which I added a line of regression to show the trends in the rate over various periods of time, separated by a couple of key events, which I mention below.

Average Annual Unemployment Rates

It is easy to see how the highs and lows both got higher in the first period I identified for the first line of regression and they got lower in the second.The third period only shows an increase until the rate peaked at 10% in October of 2009 and remained close to that level until it began to drop in November of 2010.

Clear is the rising trend in the annual unemployment rate from 1948 until the early 80′s. It seems important to point out that the Democrats controlled Congress during that entire period with the exception of a couple of two-year periods. Ronald Reagan of course was elected in 1980, which happens to correspond to the beginning of a downward trend in unemployment. This continued until 2001 (9/11 happened!) when a short spike took it back up. The rate then dropped until 2006 when the Democrats took over Congress again and when it began its historic climb indicated by the third line of regression.

With those three periods in mind, to which past is President Obama suggesting that Mitt wants to return? The one where the Democrats controlled Congress, the one which began with Reagan and continued even through Bill Clinton and George W. Bush?

Frankly, I would take any of those “pasts” over the current “present.” Incredibly, I find myself longing for the Clinton years! As Mitt often says, President Obama might not have caused the steep rise in unemployment, but nothing he and his friends in the Congress, who took control of both houses beginning in 2006, wielding total control until the Republicans took back the House of Representatives in 2010.

All of this makes me wonder whether a sufficiently drastic change in direction is possible without an across the board change in how business is being conducted in Washington.

Mitt’s Speech at Liberty University Generates Local Interest

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Liberty University in Lynchburg, Virginia, recently announced that Mitt will be their commencement speaker on May 12. He will address the crowd of 34,000, which will include the graduates, friends and family who will gather for this year’s graduation ceremonies. Because Dane, our partner on MittTheMan.com practices medicine in Lynchburg in addition to his hometown of Roanoke, and has been a friend of Mitt’s for the past 45 years, he was recently interviewed by the Lynchburg newspaper, the News and Advance.

Here is the text of the article from the newspaper’s Web site that provides several interesting insights into Mitt’s time in France, his years at Brigham Young University, as well as later years :

Dr. Dane McBride treats children and allergy sufferers in Lynchburg today, but as a young man he was doing something entirely different.

He was trying to win converts to Mormonism in France with another young missionary named Mitt Romney.

McBride says he knows a very different man from the presidential candidate who’s portrayed in the media as “plastic and robotic — all those adjectives they use to depersonalize him,” theLynchburgdoctor said during an interview this week.

Mitt Romney the person is someone McBride calls “very warm and personable, engaging, funny, smart as a whip.”

“But when he’s down to business, he’s all business,” McBride said.

A group of Mormon missionaries in France in 1968. Mitt is sitting (middle) & Dane Standing behind Mitt

On the other hand, “Mitt is not a born politician. And that’s one of the reasons they say he’s awkward on the campaign trail,” said McBride, who has stayed in touch with Romney over the years, and took a group of businessmen to meet Romney at a fund-raising event in Washington on Wednesday night.

By nature, the Republican nominee-apparent is “a problem-solver, a fixer,” he said.

Romney showed those talents when the mission in France was in danger of missing its goal, and again when he was president of the Cougar fundraising club at Brigham Young University, McBride said.

He recounted his first meeting with Romney, whose father, George, was governor ofMichiganand, to McBride, a hero because he was a successful Mormon east of theMississippi.

“Right off the bat I saw a number of things” about the governor’s son, McBride said.

“He was smart, he was a hard worker, and he was very helpful to others who were struggling” to learn their way as missionaries in a foreign country.

In the spring of 1968, during their 30-month mission efforts, France was in upheaval with riots and labor strife that almost toppled the government.

The turmoil slowed the mission effort, McBride said, but Romney was promoted to a job assisting the president of the Mormon church in France.

Soon afterward, Romney was driving the president and his wife when a Mercedes Benz came around a curve on the wrong side and hit Romney’s vehicle head-on.

The president’s wife died.

Romney was ejected from the vehicle unconscious, and a French policeman wrote on Romney’s passport: “He is dead,” McBride said.

But Romney survived with a broken arm and, a couple of months later, was in a meeting to assess the mission’s progress.

The missionaries were only halfway to their goal of 160 converts for the year, but it was already September and the workers’ morale was low due to the country’s social unrest and the loss of the president’s wife.

“We were looking for ways to raise morale and raise performance. One of the things we did, and it was Mitt’s idea, was to raise the goal from 160 to 200 for the year, and we were at 80,” McBride said.

“So in four months we would get 120 more.

“This was a major increase in effort, and this was a way to get people to step up and perform. To make a long story short, come December 31, we had surpassed that goal; we had 204. That was Mitt’s first serious turnaround of a failing enterprise,” he said, alluding to Romney’s later career as a businessman whose Bain Capital company specialized in taking over failing businesses, making many of them profitable.

A couple years later, when Romney and McBride were students at Brigham Young, Romney proposed the university’s Cougar Club skip its usual goal of raising $10,000 a year for the athletics program, and aim for $100,000.

Instead of sponsoring dances and selling mums for homecoming, the club set up a phone bank to call alumni and parents to ask for donations — a new concept at the time. The club members raised $100,000, McBride said, and in an atmosphere that allowed them to say, “We did that.”

McBride said he doesn’t buy into another of the political arena’s perceptions of Romney: “that he’s too darn rich and doesn’t know how the rest of us live.”

“I have lived with him at just barely above poverty level for 2½ years in France,” and during part of the time they lived in the same “flea-bitten” apartment, McBride said.

“He knows what it’s like to live at a lower level than most people in this country may have lived at,” McBride said.

The doctor also noticed the social-media commentary stimulated by Liberty University’s invitation to have Romney speak at its graduation ceremony May 12. (McBride plans to attend.)

Discussion has focused on whether it’s appropriate to have a Mormon speak at a Christian university.

“This will be the largest audience he has spoken to, largely an evangelical audience, and so it’s an opportunity for him to present himself in a way that is more acceptable to them on the basis of common values and on what he will do to turn the country around from where it’s at in its economy,” McBride said.

“I’m almost certain he’s not going to dwell on religious subjects,” McBride said.

McBride offered his own opinion that “people will hear Mitt and they will say, ‘this guy has our values,’” because in terms of family values, personal values, the importance of family, the importance of faith, “there’s not a dime’s worth of difference in their values.”

Note: Dr. Dane C. McBride practices pediatrics and allergy & immunology in Lynchburg, Roanoke and Salem.

Mitt was more truthful than Santorum and Gingrich!

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The standard take on politicians is that they lie. As the old joke goes, “How can you tell when a politician is lying? His lips are moving!”

I started this post a couple of days ago with that lede after seeing Gingrich and Santorum supporters repeating the Mitt is a liar!” accusations on Twitter. Then yesterday I camr across this piece on ABC News, which provides some insights into what New Gingrich thought of the campaign he had run, which I found quite interesting. Unfortunately, when asked whether Newt still believes Mitt Romney is a liar, he responded::

I still believe the Romney campaign said things that weren’t true. I also believe that compared to Barack Obama, I would trust Mitt Romney 100 times over.

Our friend Nancy French at Evangelicals for Mitt pointed out that Katrina Trinko, writing at The Corner on National Review Online had reported the same occurrence. After reporting the same quote provided above from ABC News, Trinko went a bit further, pointing out how Blitzer had continued to press Gingrich on the issue of whether or not he thinks Mitt is a liar, a point left out of the ABC News report:

BLITZER: Forget about the Romney campaign. Is Mitt Romney — is Mitt Romney a liar?

GINGRICH: The governor said things at times that weren’t true.

BLITZER: So the answer is yes.

GINGRICH: I also believe that compared to Barack Obama I would trust Mitt Romney 100 times over.

The omission from one report to the other is interesting and reflects the meme attached to Mitt during the campaign that continues to affect how he is viewed today. Anyone who supports his candidacy and has followed the Republican Primaries has heard (more times than they want to remember!) how the Super PAC that supported Mitt supposedly “carpet bombed” various states with “lies” about his opponents. Those of us who know Mitt have been quick to point out that his supporters in the Super PAC were merely standing up to the lies being spread about him by pointing out problems with the truth that the others seemed to be having.

The assertions among Gingrich supporters on Twitter, combined with these two reports on the fact that Newt is repeating the same line from the campaign, make what I set out to report all the more pertinent.

Thinking it would be interesting to find some objective way to assess the relative truthfulness of the top three major candidates in the Republican race, I turned to PolitiFact of the Tampa Bay Times for their pages on Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, and Rick Santorum and compiled the following table:

Data from PolitiFact Fact Check (3 May 2012)

One clear observation is the extent to which Mitt’s statements were subjected to fact checks more than the other two combined says something in and of itself. One can easily conclude that without the “Mitt is a liar!” meme being bounced around non-stop, the folks at the Pulitzer Prize winning PolitiFact would not be checking so many of his statements.

While one can easily see from that table that Mitt’s numbers reflect a higher level of truthfulness, a couple of graphics illustrate what is going on with those numbers. I have included below a bar chart that is based on the complete data from table above:

PolitiFact Comparisons (All Data)

Gingrich’s “Pants on Fire” rating is almost laughable, considering the circumstances. Most interesting however, was a chart that omitted the “Half True” category and combine the two extremes into the simpler “True” or “False” categories:

PolitiFact Data Plot (Top two and bottom three categories)

While the data suggests that they found that Mitt’s numbers were slightly underwater when the two categories, the results for his two opponents were notably worse! Indeed, given that Gingrich was found to be true less than 20% of the time and false almost 60% of the time makes one wonder how he can feel justified in calling Mitt a liar!

As a final note, we need to keep in mind that this sort of comparison assumes that PolitiFact was fair in their determinations. While considering the oft-documented bias against Republicans in general and Mitt in particular, there is no obvious reason to assume the same level of fairness was not applied to all three candidates. Also, it is clear from the table above that the incredibly high number of checks they did on Mitt indicates that he was subjected to a lot more scrutiny than the others.

Mitt and Ann on CBS This Morning

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I wrote yesterday of Mitt’s great sense of humor that people such as Molly Ball of The National Journal are starting to recognize and appreciate. I also just saw where Ann gave a fun testimonial yesterday on the “CBS This Morning” of who Mitt really is, stating “This is the boy that I knew. I still look at him as the boy I met in high school, when he was playing all the jokes and really just being crazy, pretty crazy.” Pointing at Mitt, she continued, “There’s a wild and crazy man inside there.”

Mitt and Ann on CBS This Morning (Click on Image to view on YouTube)

This very short glimpse of this terrific couple provides a hint of what one hears from those who know them. The full picture of those will come more and more into focus as people get to know Ann and Mitt and become acquainted with who they are as two people who love each other. It will be fun to watch Ann, who is not shy in her opinions, as she introduces Mitt to others.

As witnessed by some of the comments on the YouTube video, many people want this to be an act, simply because it does not track with the image that the press has been portraying for so long now. The bottom line, however, is that this is EXACTLY the kind of person that we got to know in France 45 years ago. He really is a lot of fun to be around, but he is also serious when the occasion warrants serious behavior. Unfortunately, this latter, more formal image is the one that people see, and when he breaks with that image, people assume that he is simply not being himself, which is such a totally incorrect view of Mitt as a person.

Mitt’s Great Sense of Humor

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Jane Mayer, a writer at The New Yorker, joins a host of other writers and commentators in proposing that Mitt is severely challenged with respect to his sense of humor. Addressing the laughter and good humor on display at the White House Correspondent’s Dinner, she obviously doubted Mitt’s ability to pull something like that off and even found an unnamed “Republican operative who is a veteran of Presidential campaigns”  who said “Romney could never do a night like this.”

"Hey let's put on a show!" MittTheMan.com partner, Dane McBride with Mitt (on the right) perform for other missionaries in France in 1968.

Mayer then continued:

Even with the best jokes scrolling down on the best teleprompters money can buy, there’s a certain social agility that some have, and others can’t fake. Reagan was a spectacularly good joke-teller. His timing, tilt of head, timbre of voice, and self-deprecation made for a completely professional presentation. This may be unsurprising, since he had been a professional actor, but it takes something more, and he had it. Obama does too.

I wrote previously how Mitt’s sense of humor was certainly misread in the recent “Cookiegate” episode wherein Mitt supposedly insulted cookies from a bakery in Pittsburgh. I explained at least in part what happened by saying that this would not be the first time that his sense of humor has been misunderstood. Molly Ball of the National Journal underscores that point by writing an entire article on the subject, from which I excerpted the following:

For all the hype about his woodenness, Romney, I submit, actually has the most sophisticated — and underappreciated — sense of humor of any presidential candidate. It is dry, self-deprecating and a bit dark, a far cry from the safely hokey laugh lines of most politicians on the stump. And it bespeaks a confidence and flair not often attributed to the much-maligned candidate.

Mitt’s long-time adviser, Eric Fehrnstrom, points out what anyone who knows Mitt personally will say, that Mitt has a terrific sense of humor. Fehrnstrom recently told the Washington Post of practical jokes from past years. In one of those a state trooper had short-sheeted Mitt’s bed, so Mitt retaliated by creating a bogus letter addressed to the governor of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts from the hotel management. The letter apologized “for the bad housekeeping and the short sheeting of his bed.” and informed the governor that management “had taken action to fire the chambermaid.” Fehrnstrom recounted that when Mitt showed the letter to the trooper the man’s “face went white.”

Unfortunately, using Google to try to find examples of Mitt being funny approaches the essence of futile activity. It seems the Web is filled with mocking and derision of Mitt’s lack of sense of humor or one that is totally out of whack. The links of that sort that are returned are numerous, and Google almost seems to serve up the negativity with what I almost thought was some measure of human-like satisfaction that my search was pointless. This led me to conclude that we are now faced with one more meme being foisted upon the voters by Mitt’s opponent and his friends in the media.

Luckily, Andrew Kaczynski at BuzzFeed also read the Molly Ball piece cited earlier and actually seems to agree that Mitt is “actually a pretty funny guy.” Kaczynski even documented his findings with video clips going all the way back to 2005, while my searches on Google YouTube failed to come up with any of those. Fortunately, I finally remembered that Charles Mitchell at Evangelicals for Mitt had linked to the BuzzFeed piece in his post entitled, “The M-I-Double Tizzle.”

Go to the BuzzFeed piece to watch all the clips, but here is a pretty funny one:

Losing my Cookies

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Cookie Tray from the Bethel Bakery in Pittsburgh

No, I am not having a problem with my Internet browser, but I am feeling a bit queasy. Not physically, mind you, but my insides are irritated nonetheless with the title referring to my attitude about the Democrats’ approach to the presidential campaign.

Way back in August Ben Smith and Jonathan Martin of Politico wrote that the Democrats would launch a “personal assault on Mitt Romney’s character and business background.” That same piece quoted an unnamed Obama campaign adviser, “There’s a weirdness factor with Romney, and it remains to be seen how he wears with the public.”

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Stupid is as Stupid Does

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Lots of people including Karl Rove are predicting that this will be a supremely nasty campaign. Jeb Bush suggests that Mitt should remain “above the fray.”

Then there is the Democrat governor of Montana, Brian Schweitzer, who has sought to use Mitt’s family history against him by pointing out the fact that Mitt’s great grandfather was a polygamist from the colonies in Mexico. As Kevin Williamson points out at The Corner at National Review Online, this is a pretty stupid direction for Democrats to go, given that President Obama’s father was a polygamist.

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A Fun Easter Prank at Mitt’s Alma Mater

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My first thought was that this post is not really about Mitt Romney, but I wanted to do a post  anyway about this prank that I discovered today on YouTube. Its creativity and the manner in which it was documented so well both merit attention. Not only that, the video is really amusing to watch. The more I thought about it, however, I decided that in a fairly direct way the prank is something that Mitt would very much enjoy, which says a lot about who he is as a person and thus falls very much within the purpose of MittTheMan.com

Indeed, Mitt’s family and anyone who knows him will talk about the fact that he loves pranks, much so much that his staff pulled worked a great April Fool’s prank on him recently on the campaign trail that was documented on YouTube. Working in cahoots with Congressman Paul Ryan and Senator Ron Johnson of Wisconsin during a campaign swing in their state, they arranged to take him to show up for an event in an empty room before taking him to the real event. Waiting backstage as Congressman Ryan introduced him he heard cheers and applause but when he stepped into the room, he found only the congressman, the senator, and his staffers. The applause was prerecorded and added to the gag which turned out to be rather humorous and is itself is worth watching on YouTube.

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